Tokyo Verdy 2-2 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.6
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.53
6+ Goals
9%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.32
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
14%
4.83
X/2
12%
6.27
X/X
12%
3.88
2/1
11%
31.0
2/2
10%
4.82
2/X
10%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.50/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.13
+51% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
22.0 Crosses 14.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy
0W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Tokyo
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
23 Total Shots 19
10 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
12.07.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-1 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JPK
08.06.2008 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-4 HT 2-2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JLK
25.05.2008 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 3-0 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JLK
09.07.2005 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
2-2
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.34 xG 1.36
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
393 Passes 366
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy and FC Tokyo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tokyo Verdy at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 52% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 48%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.34 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, FC Tokyo led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 2.00 for FC Tokyo.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?

Tokyo Verdy 2-2 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 44%, draw 28%, FC Tokyo 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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