Machida Zelvia 1-2 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.73
6+ Goals
6%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.22
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
12%
13.35
X/1
15%
5.66
X/2
15%
5.27
X/X
12%
3.73
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.82
2/X
5%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 39%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +22%
1.45/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.24
-19% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
19.0 Crosses 19.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
1-2
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.96 xG 0.99
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
201 Passes 183
67% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 21
30 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe squeezed past Machida Zelvia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Vissel Kobe made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 53% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 47%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 0.96 to 0.99.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe?

Machida Zelvia 1-2 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 32%, draw 29%, Vissel Kobe 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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