Yokohama F. Marinos 2-2 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.56
No
55%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.06
6+ Goals
9%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 31% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.03
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
14%
5.08
X/2
15%
6.49
X/X
7%
5.15
2/1
10%
24.0
2/2
16%
4.26
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.8pp
55%
BTTS No
40%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.82/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.34
+45% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
381 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.4 Crosses 17.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.61 xG 1.74
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
509 Passes 283
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.07.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 HT 2-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
15.04.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-1 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
07.09.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 3-0 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
14.05.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-4 HT 0-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
01.10.2021 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
03.04.2021 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
2-2
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
1.71 xG 1.32
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
378 Passes 236
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos and Shonan Bellmare couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 59% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 41%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.71 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 0.67 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shonan Bellmare?

Yokohama F. Marinos 2-2 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 39%, draw 23%, Shonan Bellmare 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
13 Apr 2024
08:00 Jubilo Iwata vs Nagoya Grampus Analysis →
08:00 Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Analysis →
08:00 Albirex Niigata vs Consadole Sapporo Analysis →
09:00 Kashima Antlers vs Kyoto Sanga Analysis →
09:00 Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe Analysis →
09:00 Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale Analysis →