Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 13 Apr 2024

Jubilo Iwata
0-1 HT 0-1
Nagoya Grampus
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Jubilo Iwata vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.91
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.59
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
10%
4.91
X/2
13%
5.77
X/X
16%
3.79
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
16%
4.5
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-7.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jubilo Iwata v Nagoya Grampus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.35/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.17
+6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
389 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
21.2 Crosses 14.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1

Jubilo Iwata vs Nagoya Grampus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.43 xG 1.72
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
403 Passes 410
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
19.08.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-0 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
28.04.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
30.11.2019 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-1 HT 1-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
20.04.2019 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-0 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
01.09.2018 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-6 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
03.03.2018 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-0 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP

Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Nagoya Grampus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
0-1
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
0.67 xG 0.49
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
513 Passes 236
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 7
29 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Nagoya Grampus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus squeezed past Jubilo Iwata 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Nagoya Grampus found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 65% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 35%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.67 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 1.83 for Nagoya Grampus.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Nagoya Grampus?

Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Nagoya Grampus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 32%, draw 30%, Nagoya Grampus 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nagoya Grampus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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