Kashima Antlers 1-0 Kyoto Sanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.2
6+ Goals
9%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.39
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.35
X/1
16%
4.01
X/2
11%
8.88
X/X
16%
4.28
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
7%
7.31
2/X
5%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.3pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.56/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.47
+2% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +53%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 71%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
20.6 Crosses 16.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.07 xG 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
293 Passes 196
71% Pass Accuracy 62%
19 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.07.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
18.02.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-2 HT 0-2 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
10.09.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-1 HT 1-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
18.06.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
28.11.2010 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-1 HT 2-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
14.03.2010 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
1-0
AWAY Kyoto Sanga
1.38 xG 0.46
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
290 Passes 180
76% Pass Accuracy 63%
39 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 18
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Kyoto Sanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers nicked a narrow win over Kyoto Sanga 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kashima Antlers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 57% of the ball to Kyoto Sanga's 43%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.38 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kashima Antlers and 0.50 for Kyoto Sanga.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Kyoto Sanga?

Kashima Antlers 1-0 Kyoto Sanga in the Japan - J1 League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Kyoto Sanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 49%, draw 26%, Kyoto Sanga 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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