Albirex Niigata 1-1 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.8
6+ Goals
9%
16.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.98
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
15%
4.7
X/2
11%
6.77
X/X
13%
4.36
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
10%
4.99
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.13/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.45
-6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
399 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
19.2 Crosses 17.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.78 xG 1.45
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
275 Passes 394
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.07.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-1 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
04.03.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-2 HT 2-1 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
23.09.2017 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 2-2 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
20.05.2017 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-0 HT 0-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
01.12.2012 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 4-1 HT 2-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
07.07.2012 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 0-1 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata
1-1
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
0.64 xG 1.02
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
542 Passes 272
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata and Consadole Sapporo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Albirex Niigata at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Albirex Niigata had 63% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 37%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.64 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Albirex Niigata and 0.83 for Consadole Sapporo.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Consadole Sapporo?

Albirex Niigata 1-1 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - J1 League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 42%, draw 30%, Consadole Sapporo 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Albirex Niigata), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albirex Niigata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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