Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
4.23
6+ Goals
10%
21.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 33% vs market 31.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.59
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
12%
13.5
X/1
12%
6.23
X/2
13%
5.28
X/X
10%
4.06
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
18%
3.56
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.33/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.14
-8% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
19.8 Crosses 16.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.08 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
327 Passes 313
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-2 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
15.05.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
08.07.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
03.05.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-2 HT 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
05.11.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 HT 0-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
19.02.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-2 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
0-1
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
0.53 xG 1.05
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 5
368 Passes 388
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 26
27 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol squeezed past Shonan Bellmare 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Kashiwa Reysol made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 51% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 49%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 0.53 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 1.67 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 33%, draw 30%, Kashiwa Reysol 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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