Vissel Kobe 1-0 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
6.08
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.54
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
8%
4.77
X/2
8%
6.28
X/X
18%
3.46
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
13%
5.36
2/X
7%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.7pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.27/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.77
-4% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +98%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
21.0 Crosses 20.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.98 xG 0.58
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
248 Passes 182
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
28 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 3
26.06.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-0 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
13.04.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-2 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
1-0
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.67 xG 2.23
66% Ball Possession 34%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
340 Passes 137
72% Pass Accuracy 57%
30 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe edged past Machida Zelvia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Vissel Kobe made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 66% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 34%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.67 to 2.23 — the balance of chances actually favoured Machida Zelvia.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vissel Kobe and 0.50 for Machida Zelvia.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?

Vissel Kobe 1-0 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 40%, draw 31%, Machida Zelvia 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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