Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nagoya Grampus v Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Team-Based Signals
Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-0
Nagoya Grampus
JAP
2-1
HT 1-0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
JLK
Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Actual Match Statistics
Nagoya Grampus squeezed past Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 32% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 68%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.23 to 0.80 — on chances, Sanfrecce Hiroshima could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 1.67 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 32%, draw 26%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.