Machida Zelvia 2-0 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.56
Over 2.5
51%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
4.73
6+ Goals
10%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.35
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
13%
13.9
X/1
12%
4.84
X/2
8%
6.3
X/X
8%
3.85
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
19%
5.01
2/X
5%
14.4
Value flag · 1/X at 13.9 — our 13% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.8pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
60%
-11.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
40%
+11.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +42%
1.40/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.24
+2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
21.5 Crosses 19.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 0.88
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
167 Passes 279
63% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
20.04.2025 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
26.06.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-0 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
13.04.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-2 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
2-0
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.01 xG 0.78
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
148 Passes 344
59% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia got the better of Vissel Kobe 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Machida Zelvia as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 35% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 65%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.01 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Machida Zelvia and 1.00 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe?

Machida Zelvia 2-0 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 41%, draw 27%, Vissel Kobe 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
10 Aug 2025
12:30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Shimizu S-Pulse Analysis →
13:00 FC Tokyo vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →
13:00 Kashiwa Reysol vs Shonan Bellmare Analysis →
13:00 Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga Analysis →
13:00 Gamba Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama Analysis →