Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.56
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
20.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.2pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
0.99/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.30
-18% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 80%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
16.6 Crosses 18.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.37 xG 0.89
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
321 Passes 260
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
20.04.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-1 HT 3-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
17.09.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 3-2 HT 2-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
18.06.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-1 HT 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
02.10.2021 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
06.03.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
1-1
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka and Shimizu S-Pulse shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 49% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 51%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 2.00 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 35%, draw 25%, Shimizu S-Pulse 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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