Mito HollyHock 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
2.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 28% vs market 27.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.57
-26% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
Crosses 16.9
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
16 Total Shots 34
13 Shots on Target 21
11 Corners 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.07.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-2 HT 1-2 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
1-0
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.42 xG 0.35
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
423 Passes 165
78% Pass Accuracy 59%
24 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock squeezed past Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Mito HollyHock found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 66% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 34%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.42 to 0.35.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Mito HollyHock 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mito HollyHock win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 38%, draw 29%, Yokohama F. Marinos 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mito HollyHock), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mito HollyHock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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