Vissel Kobe 2-2 Gamba Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 18 Mar 2026

📅18/03/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.36
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 30% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.54/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.31
-9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
21.7 Crosses 16.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gamba Osaka
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 0.62
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
293 Passes 300
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
17.05.2025 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-2 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
23.11.2024 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JPK
17.08.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-2 HT 1-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
22.06.2024 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
03.12.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
2-2
AWAY Gamba Osaka
1.63 xG 1.96
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 3
220 Passes 339
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 24
29 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Gamba Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe and Gamba Osaka couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vissel Kobe at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 45% of the ball to Gamba Osaka's 55%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.63 to 1.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vissel Kobe and 1.17 for Gamba Osaka.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Gamba Osaka?

Vissel Kobe 2-2 Gamba Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Gamba Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 50%, draw 27%, Gamba Osaka 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vissel Kobe), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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