Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerezo Osaka v Fagiano Okayama — Team-Based Signals
Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Cerezo Osaka
JAP2
Cerezo Osaka 1-2 Fagiano Okayama — Actual Match Statistics
Fagiano Okayama nicked a narrow win over Cerezo Osaka 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Cerezo Osaka at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Cerezo Osaka had 55% of the ball to Fagiano Okayama's 45%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.89 to 0.67.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 1.00 for Fagiano Okayama.
What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
Cerezo Osaka 1-2 Fagiano Okayama in the Japan - J1 League on 18/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cerezo Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka 47%, draw 22%, Fagiano Okayama 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.