Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fagiano Okayama v Cerezo Osaka — Team-Based Signals
Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Cerezo Osaka
JAP2
Fagiano Okayama 1-2 Cerezo Osaka — Actual Match Statistics
Cerezo Osaka nicked a narrow win over Fagiano Okayama 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cerezo Osaka as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 35% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 65%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 0.76 to 1.84.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 1.50 for Cerezo Osaka.
What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka?
Fagiano Okayama 1-2 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cerezo Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 35%, draw 24%, Cerezo Osaka 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerezo Osaka), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.