Tokyo Verdy vs Albirex Niigata Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tokyo Verdy v Albirex Niigata — Team-Based Signals
Tokyo Verdy vs Albirex Niigata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Albirex Niigata
JAP2
4-3
HT 3-0
Tokyo Verdy
JAP2
Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Albirex Niigata — Actual Match Statistics
Tokyo Verdy squeezed past Albirex Niigata 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tokyo Verdy as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 44% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 56%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.48 to 1.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured Albirex Niigata.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tokyo Verdy had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 1.33 for Albirex Niigata.
What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Albirex Niigata?
Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - J1 League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Albirex Niigata?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 47%, draw 25%, Albirex Niigata 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.