Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Albirex Niigata v Tokyo Verdy — Team-Based Signals
Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo Verdy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Albirex Niigata
JAP2
4-3
HT 3-0
Tokyo Verdy
JAP2
1-3
HT 0-1
Albirex Niigata
JAP2
7-0
HT 2-0
Tokyo Verdy
JAP2
Albirex Niigata 2-2 Tokyo Verdy — Actual Match Statistics
Albirex Niigata and Tokyo Verdy couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Albirex Niigata had 62% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 38%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.36 to 0.68.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Albirex Niigata and 1.50 for Tokyo Verdy.
What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo Verdy?
Albirex Niigata 2-2 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo Verdy?
Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 36%, draw 28%, Tokyo Verdy 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.