Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Albirex Niigata v Tokyo Verdy — Team-Based Signals
Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo Verdy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Albirex Niigata
JAP2
4-3
HT 3-0
Tokyo Verdy
JAP2
1-3
HT 0-1
Albirex Niigata
JAP2
7-0
HT 2-0
Tokyo Verdy
JAP2
2-2
HT 1-1
Tokyo Verdy
JAP2
Albirex Niigata 0-2 Tokyo Verdy — Actual Match Statistics
Tokyo Verdy got the better of Albirex Niigata 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Albirex Niigata at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Albirex Niigata had 60% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 40%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.41 to 1.34.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Albirex Niigata and 1.50 for Tokyo Verdy.
What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo Verdy?
Albirex Niigata 0-2 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo Verdy?
Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 42%, draw 25%, Tokyo Verdy 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.