Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 23 Oct 2024

Urawa Red Diamonds
1-0 HT 0-0
Kashiwa Reysol
📅23/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.3
6+ Goals
10%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 33% vs market 30.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.99
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
9%
12.4
X/1
16%
5.7
X/2
16%
5.68
X/X
14%
3.78
2/1
9%
33.5
2/2
11%
3.95
2/X
6%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.7pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Urawa Red Diamonds v Kashiwa Reysol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -4%
1.04/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.30
-8% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
16.7 Crosses 16.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kashiwa Reysol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.56 xG 0.89
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
484 Passes 284
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.04.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
20.10.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
31.03.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-3 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
10.09.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 4-1 HT 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
08.05.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
22.10.2021 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 5-1 HT 4-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP

Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
1-0
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.54 xG 0.64
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
453 Passes 275
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds squeezed past Kashiwa Reysol 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Urawa Red Diamonds found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 60% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 40%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.54 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 0.50 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 37%, draw 28%, Kashiwa Reysol 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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