Gamba Osaka 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 8 Mar 2025

Gamba Osaka
1-0 HT 1-0
Shimizu S-Pulse
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.66
6+ Goals
10%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.69
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
10%
14.4
X/1
12%
5.99
X/2
18%
4.92
X/X
14%
3.91
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.48
2/X
4%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gamba Osaka v Shimizu S-Pulse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.19/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.46
+5% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
16.8 Crosses 18.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.8

Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gamba Osaka
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 1.49
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
457 Passes 326
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.08.2022 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-2 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
10.04.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
13.08.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
18.04.2021 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
19.12.2020 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-2 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
12.07.2020 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 HT 0-1 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP

Gamba Osaka 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gamba Osaka
1-0
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.23 xG 0.35
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
362 Passes 477
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gamba Osaka squeezed past Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Gamba Osaka made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Gamba Osaka had 45% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 55%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.23 to 0.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gamba Osaka and 1.00 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Gamba Osaka 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gamba Osaka vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gamba Osaka 34%, draw 28%, Shimizu S-Pulse 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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