Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 8 Mar 2025

Kashiwa Reysol
1-3 HT 0-1
Kashima Antlers
📅08/03/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima Antlers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.66
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.15
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.3
X/1
10%
5.66
X/2
17%
5.53
X/X
10%
3.72
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
17%
4.0
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.1pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kashiwa Reysol v Kashima Antlers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 38%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / -1%
1.32/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.13
+0% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
18.9 Crosses 18.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.1

Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima Antlers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.38 xG 1.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
242 Passes 352
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
06.05.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
11.11.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-1 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
24.05.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JLK
09.04.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 1-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
08.03.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JLK

Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 Kashima Antlers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
1-3
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.98 xG 1.40
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
506 Passes 213
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers saw off Kashiwa Reysol 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Kashima Antlers made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 66% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 34%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.98 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 0.83 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima Antlers?

Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 34%, draw 26%, Kashima Antlers 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashima Antlers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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