Kashima Antlers 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.24
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.63
6+ Goals
11%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 29% vs market 25.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.59
1/2
5%
29.5
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
13%
5.33
X/2
11%
5.6
X/X
12%
4.6
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.85
2/X
9%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.30/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.38
+12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
19.8 Crosses 16.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.52 xG 1.62
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
324 Passes 236
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
11.11.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-1 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
24.05.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JLK
09.04.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 1-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
08.03.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JLK
02.07.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
0-0
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
0.47 xG 0.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
380 Passes 286
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers and Kashiwa Reysol fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 57% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 43%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.47 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kashima Antlers and 0.83 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Kashima Antlers 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashima Antlers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 40%, draw 28%, Kashiwa Reysol 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kashima Antlers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kashima Antlers) ✓ Under 2.5
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