Urawa Red Diamonds 0-2 FC Tokyo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 28% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.56
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
17%
4.38
X/2
11%
7.73
X/X
10%
4.9
2/1
10%
24.0
2/2
7%
5.68
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.81/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.43
+23% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
385 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
17.1 Crosses 14.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Tokyo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.02 xG 0.85
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
425 Passes 310
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.04.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
08.07.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
18.02.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
10.07.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
10.04.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
25.09.2021 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
0-2
AWAY FC Tokyo
0.84 xG 1.15
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
481 Passes 326
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs FC Tokyo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tokyo got the better of Urawa Red Diamonds 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Urawa Red Diamonds at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 57% of the ball to FC Tokyo's 43%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 0.84 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 0.83 for FC Tokyo.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs FC Tokyo?

Urawa Red Diamonds 0-2 FC Tokyo in the Japan - J1 League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs FC Tokyo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 48%, draw 27%, FC Tokyo 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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