FC Tokyo 2-1 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.31
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
11%
7.8
X/2
18%
4.12
X/X
10%
4.35
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.59
2/X
6%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 53%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.10/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.01
+27% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +49%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
16.3 Crosses 17.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.71 xG 1.09
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
290 Passes 432
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.07.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
18.02.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
10.07.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
10.04.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
25.09.2021 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-2 HT 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
27.02.2021 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
2-1
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.06 xG 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
339 Passes 392
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 25
27 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tokyo squeezed past Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Urawa Red Diamonds at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 48% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 52%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.06 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.00 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

FC Tokyo 2-1 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 29%, draw 24%, Urawa Red Diamonds 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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