Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.39
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.61
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
20%
4.84
X/2
7%
5.81
X/X
18%
3.6
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.66
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +3%
1.19/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.13
-9% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.5 Crosses 19.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
246 Passes 313
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-1 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
24.05.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JLK
09.04.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 1-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
08.03.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JLK
02.07.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
06.03.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
1-2
AWAY Kashima Antlers
2.83 xG 1.13
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
227 Passes 317
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers nicked a narrow win over Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kashiwa Reysol at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 44% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 56%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 2.83 to 1.13 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kashiwa Reysol.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashima Antlers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.00 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima Antlers?

Kashiwa Reysol 1-2 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 43%, draw 31%, Kashima Antlers 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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