Machida Zelvia 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.76
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.32
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.0
X/1
19%
3.93
X/2
8%
9.29
X/X
8%
4.21
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
8%
8.45
2/X
8%
17.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
54%
+4.6pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.4pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.9pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.80/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.21
-8% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
21.8 Crosses 17.3
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.82 xG 0.62
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
329 Passes 224
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2025 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 HT 1-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
14.09.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
22.06.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
21.10.2020 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP2
13.09.2020 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 2-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
0-0
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
0.38 xG 0.64
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 1
382 Passes 268
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia and Avispa Fukuoka played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Machida Zelvia at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 57% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 43%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.38 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Machida Zelvia and 0.80 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Machida Zelvia 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 58%, draw 22%, Avispa Fukuoka 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Machida Zelvia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
18 Oct 2025
08:00 Yokohama F. Marinos vs Urawa Red Diamonds Analysis →
08:00 Tokyo Verdy vs Albirex Niigata Analysis →
08:00 Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-Pulse Analysis →
08:00 Yokohama FC vs Nagoya Grampus Analysis →
08:00 Gamba Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol Analysis →
08:00 Fagiano Okayama vs Cerezo Osaka Analysis →