Machida Zelvia 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
31%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.39
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.35
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
16.7
X/1
19%
3.64
X/2
15%
9.26
X/X
12%
3.94
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
11%
8.49
2/X
6%
17.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
53%
-14.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
31%
Away Win
19%
+11.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +26%
2.54/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.18
+14% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +40%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
21.4 Crosses 17.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
21.10.2020 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP2
13.09.2020 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 2-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
0-0
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
0.21 xG 0.62
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
327 Passes 226
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia and Avispa Fukuoka fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 58% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 42%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.21 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Machida Zelvia and 1.00 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Machida Zelvia 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 39%, draw 30%, Avispa Fukuoka 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Machida Zelvia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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