Albirex Niigata 2-2 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.97
2-3 Goals
34%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.13
6+ Goals
12%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.23
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
11%
5.29
X/2
13%
6.2
X/X
10%
4.99
2/1
10%
25.5
2/2
15%
4.03
2/X
10%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -18%
1.03/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.34
-16% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
20.7 Crosses 16.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.52 xG 1.25
46% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
398 Passes 474
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-3 HT 1-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
30.08.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-2 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JPK
11.03.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-0 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
09.08.2017 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-2 HT 0-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
05.05.2017 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-0 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
13.07.2016 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-2 HT 1-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata
2-2
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
1.29 xG 1.20
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
574 Passes 357
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata vs Kawasaki Frontale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata and Kawasaki Frontale couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Albirex Niigata had 59% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 41%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 1.29 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Albirex Niigata and 2.00 for Kawasaki Frontale.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Albirex Niigata 2-2 Kawasaki Frontale in the Japan - J1 League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 38%, draw 28%, Kawasaki Frontale 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Albirex Niigata) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albirex Niigata) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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