Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Cerezo Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Jun 2024

Jubilo Iwata
1-1 HT 0-0
Cerezo Osaka
📅22/06/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Jubilo Iwata vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.56
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
9%
13.95
X/1
15%
6.06
X/2
14%
4.78
X/X
11%
4.25
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.28
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jubilo Iwata v Cerezo Osaka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -19%
1.07/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.19
+1% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
19.3 Crosses 17.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.9

Jubilo Iwata vs Cerezo Osaka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.77 xG 1.70
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
311 Passes 411
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.09.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-2 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
06.05.2022 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-1 HT 2-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
24.08.2019 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-2 HT 0-2 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
22.06.2019 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-0 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
14.09.2018 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-1 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
28.04.2018 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-1 HT 1-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP

Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Cerezo Osaka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
1-1
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
1.25 xG 2.07
35% Ball Possession 65%
16 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
162 Passes 406
60% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 34
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Cerezo Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jubilo Iwata and Cerezo Osaka couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 35% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 65%, shots finished 16-20, expected goals 1.25 to 2.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 1.67 for Cerezo Osaka.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Cerezo Osaka?

Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - J1 League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Cerezo Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jubilo Iwata win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 38%, draw 28%, Cerezo Osaka 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Jubilo Iwata), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jubilo Iwata) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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