Urawa Red Diamonds 2-2 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 30% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.13
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
17%
4.84
X/2
10%
6.47
X/X
13%
4.29
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
11%
4.74
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +4%
1.24/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.23
+7% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
411 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
16.3 Crosses 18.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.98 xG 1.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
386 Passes 301
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
04.06.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
03.09.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 2-2 HT 2-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
21.05.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-1 HT 1-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
07.11.2021 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-0 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
03.04.2021 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 HT 1-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
2-2
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.29 xG 1.38
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 1
518 Passes 246
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds and Kashima Antlers shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Urawa Red Diamonds at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 65% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 35%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.29 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 0.83 for Kashima Antlers.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kashima Antlers?

Urawa Red Diamonds 2-2 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - J1 League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 42%, draw 28%, Kashima Antlers 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
22 Jun 2024
09:00 Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka Analysis →
12:00 Albirex Niigata vs Kawasaki Frontale Analysis →
12:00 Tokyo Verdy vs Nagoya Grampus Analysis →
12:30 Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe Analysis →
12:30 Jubilo Iwata vs Cerezo Osaka Analysis →
13:00 Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Analysis →