Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 28% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.44
1/2
7%
24.45
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
10%
7.45
X/2
21%
4.49
X/X
10%
4.77
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.67
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -17%
1.22/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.88
+9% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 78%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
16.2 Crosses 23.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.71 xG 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
267 Passes 385
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
26.08.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
19.03.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
14.08.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-3 HT 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
03.05.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-2 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
18.09.2021 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-3 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
19.06.2021 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
0-1
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2.01 xG 1.16
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
347 Passes 164
73% Pass Accuracy 56%
35 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima edged past Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 62% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 38%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 2.01 to 1.16 — on chances, Kashiwa Reysol could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.50 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 30%, draw 27%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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