Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.32
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.23
6+ Goals
9%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.26
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
11%
5.51
X/2
12%
5.16
X/X
18%
3.62
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.89
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.2pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 39%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.65/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.19
+49% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 79%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
17.5 Crosses 16.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
1-0
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
1.40 xG 1.39
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 11
245 Passes 400
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 32
21 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Nagoya Grampus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy squeezed past Nagoya Grampus 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Tokyo Verdy found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 40% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 60%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 1.40 to 1.39.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Nagoya Grampus?

Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Nagoya Grampus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 34%, draw 31%, Nagoya Grampus 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
22 Jun 2024
09:00 Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka Analysis →
12:00 Albirex Niigata vs Kawasaki Frontale Analysis →
12:30 Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe Analysis →
12:30 Jubilo Iwata vs Cerezo Osaka Analysis →
13:00 Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →
13:00 Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Analysis →