Gamba Osaka 2-1 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.85
No
60%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.21
6+ Goals
8%
20.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 36% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.15
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
9%
6.68
X/2
13%
4.6
X/X
16%
4.12
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.04
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
50%
-10.0pp
60%
BTTS No
50%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.25/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.12
+2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
17.1 Crosses 20.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gamba Osaka
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.11 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
367 Passes 380
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
04.03.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 4-0 HT 1-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
18.09.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-1 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
08.05.2022 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2-0 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
21.07.2021 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 1-2 HT 1-2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
27.02.2021 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gamba Osaka
2-1
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.28 xG 1.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
227 Passes 293
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gamba Osaka nicked a narrow win over Vissel Kobe 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vissel Kobe at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gamba Osaka had 44% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 56%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.28 to 1.60 — the balance of chances actually favoured Vissel Kobe.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gamba Osaka and 1.67 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe?

Gamba Osaka 2-1 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gamba Osaka vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gamba Osaka 29%, draw 29%, Vissel Kobe 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
22 Jun 2024
09:00 Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka Analysis →
12:00 Albirex Niigata vs Kawasaki Frontale Analysis →
12:00 Tokyo Verdy vs Nagoya Grampus Analysis →
12:30 Jubilo Iwata vs Cerezo Osaka Analysis →
13:00 Urawa Red Diamonds vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →
13:00 Kashiwa Reysol vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Analysis →