Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
15%
7.04
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.83
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.8
X/1
15%
5.68
X/2
13%
5.08
X/X
17%
3.23
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
14%
4.08
2/X
8%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.1pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.1pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.6pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +17%
0.90/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.67
-29% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +46%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 78%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
16.0 Crosses 20.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.56 xG 0.48
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
234 Passes 326
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
14.09.2024 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
22.06.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
21.10.2020 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP2
13.09.2020 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 2-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
2-2
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.73 xG 1.49
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
204 Passes 333
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Machida Zelvia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka and Machida Zelvia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 40% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 60%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.73 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.00 for Machida Zelvia.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Machida Zelvia?

Avispa Fukuoka 2-2 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 32%, draw 31%, Machida Zelvia 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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