Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.92
6+ Goals
11%
17.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.81
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
8%
14.65
X/1
10%
7.41
X/2
20%
4.62
X/X
10%
4.47
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
18%
2.81
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.26/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.98
+3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
19.9 Crosses 21.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.89 xG 1.40
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
230 Passes 284
66% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
19.05.2024 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-5 HT 0-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
23.09.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
04.06.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
05.10.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-2 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JPK
17.07.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
1-0
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.54 xG 1.26
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
144 Passes 406
57% Pass Accuracy 76%
5 Box Touches 23
4 Crosses 36
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyoto Sanga edged past Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 31% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 69%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.54 to 1.26 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 1.83 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 31%, draw 24%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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