Kyoto Sanga 0-5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 19 May 2024

Kyoto Sanga
0-5 HT 0-3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.82
Over 2.5
36%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.9
No
63%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
3.21
2-3 Goals
34%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.66
6+ Goals
8%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 40% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
9.26
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
16.0
X/1
6%
11.3
X/2
24%
3.88
X/X
13%
4.77
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.03
2/X
10%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
+5.8pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-10.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
51%
+12.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
49%
-12.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
49%
-12.2pp
63%
BTTS No
51%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kyoto Sanga v Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 62%
+14% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.14/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.73
-13% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +31%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
244 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 80%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
14.7 Crosses 25.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.9

Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.81 xG 1.65
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
242 Passes 318
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
04.06.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1 HT 0-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
05.10.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-2 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JPK
17.07.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
21.05.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-1 HT 2-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
02.10.2010 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 0-3 HT 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP

Kyoto Sanga 0-5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
0-5
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.25 xG 1.13
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 2
284 Passes 190
67% Pass Accuracy 59%
6 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima cruised past Kyoto Sanga 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 57% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 43%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.25 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 2.00 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Kyoto Sanga 0-5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 23%, draw 30%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 48%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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