FC Tokyo 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.81
6+ Goals
13%
7.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.82
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
11%
12.3
X/1 EV+ ✗
19%
6.29
X/2
8%
5.56
X/X
8%
5.39
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
20%
3.21
2/X
7%
12.2
Value flag · X/1 at 6.29 — our 19% vs market 11.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.3pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.29/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.75
+11% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 79%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
16.5 Crosses 17.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.97 xG 2.42
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
272 Passes 534
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
19.08.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
03.06.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-3 HT 2-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
03.09.2022 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 2-2 HT 0-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
02.04.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
06.11.2021 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 8-0 HT 4-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
01.05.2021 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-3 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
1-1
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.18 xG 1.23
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
252 Passes 449
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tokyo and Yokohama F. Marinos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 40% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 60%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.18 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Tokyo and 3.33 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

FC Tokyo 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 38%, draw 26%, Yokohama F. Marinos 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Tokyo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Tokyo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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