Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 19 May 2024

Jubilo Iwata
1-1 HT 0-0
Urawa Red Diamonds
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Jubilo Iwata vs Urawa Red Diamonds Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.41
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.8
1/2
6%
24.0
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
12%
7.73
X/2
15%
4.26
X/X
9%
4.95
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.53
2/X
7%
14.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jubilo Iwata v Urawa Red Diamonds — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 54%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.08/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.16
+8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 82%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
17.6 Crosses 17.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2

Jubilo Iwata vs Urawa Red Diamonds Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.06 xG 2.08
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
366 Passes 475
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.08.2022 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 0-6 HT 0-3 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
19.03.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 4-1 HT 3-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
20.07.2019 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-3 HT 0-3 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
03.05.2019 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-1 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
15.08.2018 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 4-0 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
01.04.2018 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-1 HT 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP

Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
1-1
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
0.86 xG 2.06
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
208 Passes 669
74% Pass Accuracy 91%
16 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jubilo Iwata and Urawa Red Diamonds couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Urawa Red Diamonds at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 29% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 71%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 0.86 to 2.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 3.00 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 33%, draw 23%, Urawa Red Diamonds 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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