Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 Consadole Sapporo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
12%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.47
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
20%
4.33
X/2
10%
7.91
X/X
9%
5.28
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
22.7
2/2
9%
5.68
2/X
9%
14.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+3.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.51/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.47
-18% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
20.4 Crosses 16.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.97 xG 1.19
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
258 Passes 529
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-2 HT 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
02.08.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JPK
03.06.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 4-5 HT 2-3 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
16.07.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 1-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP
25.05.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-6 HT 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
23.04.2022 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo 1-2 HT 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
2-1
AWAY Consadole Sapporo
1.33 xG 1.21
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
236 Passes 509
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Consadole Sapporo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol nicked a narrow win over Consadole Sapporo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kashiwa Reysol as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 34% of the ball to Consadole Sapporo's 66%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.33 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kashiwa Reysol had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.33 for Consadole Sapporo.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Consadole Sapporo?

Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 Consadole Sapporo in the Japan - J1 League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Consadole Sapporo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 53%, draw 23%, Consadole Sapporo 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
19 May 2024
08:00 Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Analysis →
08:00 Machida Zelvia vs Tokyo Verdy Analysis →
08:00 Jubilo Iwata vs Urawa Red Diamonds Analysis →
09:00 Kashima Antlers vs Vissel Kobe Analysis →
09:00 Gamba Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale Analysis →
09:00 FC Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos Analysis →