Kashima Antlers 1-0 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.03
6+ Goals
7%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 32% vs market 28.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.62
1/2
10%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
14%
6.22
X/2
13%
4.84
X/X
15%
4.24
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.24
2/X
8%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.1pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +26%
1.24/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.12
+28% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
18.7 Crosses 19.5
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashima Antlers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.85 xG 1.56
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 Passes 366
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-1 HT 2-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
15.04.2023 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-5 HT 0-2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
07.09.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JPK
16.07.2022 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers 1-1 HT 0-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
11.03.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-2 HT 0-1 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
21.08.2021 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 0-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashima Antlers
1-0
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.02 xG 0.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
269 Passes 242
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kashima Antlers vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashima Antlers squeezed past Vissel Kobe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Kashima Antlers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kashima Antlers had 52% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 48%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.02 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kashima Antlers and 1.67 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Kashima Antlers vs Vissel Kobe?

Kashima Antlers 1-0 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashima Antlers vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kashima Antlers 32%, draw 31%, Vissel Kobe 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vissel Kobe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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