Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Yokohama FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.38
Over 2.5
33%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
14%
6.7
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.06
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
15%
5.11
X/2
7%
5.7
X/X
21%
3.29
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
19%
4.78
2/X
4%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.2pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
69%
-1.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
31%
+1.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.9pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.20/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.23
+0% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +38%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
258 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 74%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
15.3 Crosses 17.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Yokohama FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.67 xG 1.38
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
318 Passes 365
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.05.2024 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 1-3 HT 1-2 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
02.09.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 1-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
19.04.2023 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
05.04.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 3-2 HT 1-2 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JLK
18.02.2023 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
09.08.2021 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
2-1
AWAY Yokohama FC
1.29 xG 0.65
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
321 Passes 430
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 17
8 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus squeezed past Yokohama FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Nagoya Grampus found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 44% of the ball to Yokohama FC's 56%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 1.29 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 1.00 for Yokohama FC.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama FC?

Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Yokohama FC in the Japan - J1 League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 39%, draw 32%, Yokohama FC 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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