Yokohama FC 1-3 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 54%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.71/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/0.16
-47% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
420 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.10 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
372 Passes 375
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.09.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 1-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
19.04.2023 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
05.04.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 3-2 HT 1-2 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JLK
18.02.2023 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
09.08.2021 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
17.03.2021 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 3-0 HT 0-0 Yokohama FC Yokohama FC JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama FC
1-3
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama FC vs Nagoya Grampus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus saw off Yokohama FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nagoya Grampus as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yokohama FC had 50% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 50%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Yokohama FC and 1.67 for Nagoya Grampus.

What was the final score of Yokohama FC vs Nagoya Grampus?

Yokohama FC 1-3 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - League Cup on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama FC vs Nagoya Grampus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Yokohama FC 28%, draw 26%, Nagoya Grampus 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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