Ryukyu 0-1 Cerezo Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 27% vs market 21.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+6.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
43%
Away Win
51%
-8.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 56%
+58% / +58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.21
+53% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -48%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
248 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
0-1
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Cerezo Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka nicked a narrow win over Ryukyu 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cerezo Osaka as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ryukyu had 63% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 37%, shots finished 19-14.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Cerezo Osaka?

Ryukyu 0-1 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - League Cup on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Cerezo Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerezo Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 32%, draw 25%, Cerezo Osaka 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerezo Osaka) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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