Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 33%
-18% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.28/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.58
-8% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +137%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.62 xG 0.89
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
362 Passes 272
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
18.06.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 HT 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JLK
26.03.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 3-3 HT 1-2 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JLK
04.03.2023 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
29.10.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
12.03.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kashiwa Reysol
2-1
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kashiwa Reysol vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kashiwa Reysol nicked a narrow win over Avispa Fukuoka 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Kashiwa Reysol made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kashiwa Reysol had 45% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 55%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.67 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Kashiwa Reysol vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Kashiwa Reysol 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - League Cup on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kashiwa Reysol vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kashiwa Reysol win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kashiwa Reysol 38%, draw 27%, Avispa Fukuoka 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kashiwa Reysol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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