Kataller Toyama 1-1 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
3.78
2-3 Goals
47%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
8%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 22% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-7.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 59%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.98/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.56
-25% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +56%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
01.06.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 3-2 HT 0-2 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
1-1
AWAY Vissel Kobe
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama and Vissel Kobe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vissel Kobe at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 42% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 58%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Vissel Kobe?

Kataller Toyama 1-1 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - League Cup on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 27%, draw 26%, Vissel Kobe 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vissel Kobe), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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