Machida Zelvia 2-0 Kashima Antlers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashima Antlers EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kashima Antlers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.98 xG 0.39
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
193 Passes 440
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-0 HT 1-0 Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
2-0
AWAY Kashima Antlers
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs Kashima Antlers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia saw off Kashima Antlers 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Machida Zelvia found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 40% of the ball to Kashima Antlers's 60%, shots finished 14-4.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Kashima Antlers?

Machida Zelvia 2-0 Kashima Antlers in the Japan - League Cup on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Kashima Antlers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 40%, draw 28%, Kashima Antlers 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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