Shimizu S-Pulse 3-0 Shonan Bellmare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 29 Mar 2025

Shimizu S-Pulse
3-0 HT 2-0
Shonan Bellmare
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Shonan Bellmare Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.22
6+ Goals
8%
20.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 35% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.74
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
8%
5.37
X/2
17%
5.85
X/X
15%
4.17
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
14%
4.27
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shimizu S-Pulse v Shonan Bellmare — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +18%
1.36/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.15
+3% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
18.1 Crosses 16.1
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.6

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Shonan Bellmare Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.44 xG 1.29
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
313 Passes 360
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.05.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-2 HT 2-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JLK
05.04.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 3-0 HT 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JLK
10.09.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
03.05.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-4 HT 0-3 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
21.08.2021 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 1-1 HT 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
25.04.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 0-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP

Shimizu S-Pulse 3-0 Shonan Bellmare — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
3-0
AWAY Shonan Bellmare
1.91 xG 0.42
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 5
242 Passes 452
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Shonan Bellmare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse swept aside Shonan Bellmare 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Shimizu S-Pulse found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 38% of the ball to Shonan Bellmare's 62%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 1.91 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.50 for Shonan Bellmare.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Shonan Bellmare?

Shimizu S-Pulse 3-0 Shonan Bellmare in the Japan - J1 League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Shonan Bellmare?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shonan Bellmare win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 34%, draw 27%, Shonan Bellmare 39%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Shonan Bellmare), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shonan Bellmare) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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