Fagiano Okayama 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒06:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.94
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
16.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.3
1/2
10%
29.0
1/X
12%
13.4
X/1
15%
6.08
X/2
10%
5.39
X/X
9%
4.39
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
20%
3.56
2/X
5%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 42%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.46/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.69
+30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
271 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
21.0 Crosses 17.1
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fagiano Okayama
1-0
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
0.84 xG 0.85
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
148 Passes 466
63% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fagiano Okayama vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fagiano Okayama edged past Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Fagiano Okayama found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 32% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 68%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.84 to 0.85.

What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Fagiano Okayama 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 34%, draw 26%, Yokohama F. Marinos 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✗ BTTS Yes
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