Albirex Niigata 0-2 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 37%
+16% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
3.12/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+131% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albirex Niigata
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.59 xG 1.10
57% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
600 Passes 321
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 2-2 HT 1-1 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
23.10.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-2 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
16.03.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-2 HT 1-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
15.10.2022 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2
08.05.2022 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 4-3 HT 3-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP2
19.09.2021 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 1-3 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albirex Niigata
0-2
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy saw off Albirex Niigata 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Albirex Niigata at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Albirex Niigata had 59% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 41%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Albirex Niigata and 1.83 for Tokyo Verdy.

What was the final score of Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo Verdy?

Albirex Niigata 0-2 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - League Cup on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albirex Niigata win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Albirex Niigata 41%, draw 28%, Tokyo Verdy 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Albirex Niigata) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albirex Niigata) ✓ Under 2.5
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