Kataller Toyama 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 21 May 2025

📅21/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.56
Over 2.5
33%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.4pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.3pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
60%
+6.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
40%
-6.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 45%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
2.50/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.00
+91% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
91% Ball Possession 9%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
28.09.2014 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-2 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP2
11.05.2014 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 HT 2-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
1-2
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka squeezed past Kataller Toyama 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Avispa Fukuoka made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 54% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 46%, shots finished 21-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Avispa Fukuoka led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kataller Toyama and 2.00 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Kataller Toyama 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - League Cup on 21/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avispa Fukuoka win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 31%, draw 29%, Avispa Fukuoka 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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